If NASA scientists are right, the Thames will be freezing ov

On Tue, 31 Jan 2012 06:31:19 -0800 (PST), mrstarbom@gmail.com wrote:

On Tuesday, 31 January 2012 22:19:34 UTC+10, Bill Sloman wrote:
On Jan 31, 8:21 am, mrst...@gmail.com wrote:
Try not to recite your dogma so uncritically.

It's not dogma - what I'm saying is based on the available scientific
evidence.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dogma

Dogma "is authoritative and not to be disputed, doubted, or diverged
from, by the practitioners or believers."

Scientific evidence is fairly authoritative, but it is regularly
doubted, and disputed, and can be diverged from if you have better
counter-evidence, so it isn't dogma.

John Larkin's problem is that he treats denialist propaganda, which
purports to doubt and dispute the scientific evidence, as if it was
dogma.


"Dogma is the established belief or doctrine held by a religion, or a particular group or organization[1]."
AGW is the established belief for your particular religious group, so much so that you ignore all evidence which conflicts with it and try to pretend you are the only scientific ones. There is no science but your science.
Here is an even better definition:
a point of view or tenet put forth as authoritative without adequate grounds (Merriam-Webster)
You could learn something from King Canute. People have to be incredibly egotistical and semi-hysterical to believe they can determine the climate.
Target approved, bomb away.

?-)
 
Joerg wrote:
amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

So, hell really can freeze over. :)


--
You can't have a sense of humor, if you have no sense.
 
On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <invalid@invalid.invalid>
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

[...]

Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.
 
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
<raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <invalid@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

[...]


Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.
Good grief. Cold kills.


--

John Larkin, President Highland Technology Inc
www.highlandtechnology.com jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom timing and laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME analog, thermocouple, LVDT, synchro, tachometer
Multichannel arbitrary waveform generators
 
John Larkin wrote:
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <invalid@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

[...]


Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.
Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January. The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter. On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

--
Dr Philip C D Hobbs
Principal Consultant
ElectroOptical Innovations LLC
Optics, Electro-optics, Photonics, Analog Electronics

160 North State Road #203
Briarcliff Manor NY 10510
845-480-2058

hobbs at electrooptical dot net
http://electrooptical.net
 
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs
<pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <invalid@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

[...]


Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January. The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter. On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs
It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.



--

John Larkin, President Highland Technology Inc
www.highlandtechnology.com jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom timing and laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME analog, thermocouple, LVDT, synchro, tachometer
Multichannel arbitrary waveform generators
 
John Larkin wrote:

(...)

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.
I'm sure you are right.

The meanest humans I know are doing much better
than average.


--Winston<-- The meaner the better, too.
 
John Larkin <jjlarkin@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> writes:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs
pcdhSpamMeSenseless@electrooptical.net> wrote:

John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <invalid@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service


Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/international/i055420S51.DTL

[...]


Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January. The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter. On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.
Now plot it against local temperature.


--

John Devereux
 
On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

"The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an
inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing
the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to
rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the
Thames in the 17th Century.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was
issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of
East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in
world temperatures ended in 1997."

Guess What? There's controversy!

Read more:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming--Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html#ixzz1kx6soAc2


Mikek
Hi!

You simply has to read this article:

The heat period (1937-1947) variability and extreme weather "drowns"
compared to the weather the last 10-15 years! (see among others figure
5, 7 in the article):

10 November 2011, Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New
Climate Dice:
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20111110_NewClimateDice.pdf


And GW do not exclude severe winters:


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
....
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect," Petoukhov says.
"Whoever thinks that the shrinking of some far away sea-ice won't bother
him could be wrong. There are complex teleconnections in the climate
system, and in the Barents-Kara Sea we might have discovered a powerful
feedback mechanism."
...."


Compare this to the "tiny" GW. Comparison between 2000-2010 with
1937-1947 hot period - earth middle temperature has risen 0.44°C
compared to the 1937-1947 hot period:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/do_nmap.py?year_last=2010&month_last=12&sat=4&sst=1&type=anoms&mean_gen=1212&year1=2000&year2=2010&base1=1937&base2=1947&radius=1200&pol=reg

/Glenn
 
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2233@gmail.com> wrote:

On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

"The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an
inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing
the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to
rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the
Thames in the 17th Century.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was
issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of
East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in
world temperatures ended in 1997."

Guess What? There's controversy!

Read more:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming--Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html#ixzz1kx6soAc2


Mikek


Hi!

You simply has to read this article:

The heat period (1937-1947) variability and extreme weather "drowns"
compared to the weather the last 10-15 years! (see among others figure
5, 7 in the article):

10 November 2011, Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New
Climate Dice:
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20111110_NewClimateDice.pdf


And GW do not exclude severe winters:


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"
That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.


--

John Larkin, President Highland Technology Inc
www.highlandtechnology.com jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom timing and laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME analog, thermocouple, LVDT, synchro, tachometer
Multichannel arbitrary waveform generators
 
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 07:23:10 -0800, John Larkin
<jjlarkin@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:

On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2233@gmail.com> wrote:

On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

"The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an
inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing
the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to
rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the
Thames in the 17th Century.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was
issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of
East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in
world temperatures ended in 1997."

Guess What? There's controversy!

Read more:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming--Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html#ixzz1kx6soAc2


Mikek


Hi!

You simply has to read this article:

The heat period (1937-1947) variability and extreme weather "drowns"
compared to the weather the last 10-15 years! (see among others figure
5, 7 in the article):

10 November 2011, Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New
Climate Dice:
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20111110_NewClimateDice.pdf


And GW do not exclude severe winters:


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"

That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.
Isn't that pretty much expected from a chaotic system?
 
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 20:23:46 -0500, "krw@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz"
<krw@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz> wrote:

On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 07:23:10 -0800, John Larkin
jjlarkin@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:

On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2233@gmail.com> wrote:

On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

"The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an
inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing
the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to
rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the
Thames in the 17th Century.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was
issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of
East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in
world temperatures ended in 1997."

Guess What? There's controversy!

Read more:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming--Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html#ixzz1kx6soAc2


Mikek


Hi!

You simply has to read this article:

The heat period (1937-1947) variability and extreme weather "drowns"
compared to the weather the last 10-15 years! (see among others figure
5, 7 in the article):

10 November 2011, Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New
Climate Dice:
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20111110_NewClimateDice.pdf


And GW do not exclude severe winters:


Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"

That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.

Isn't that pretty much expected from a chaotic system?
Yes. Everything causes everything, so more CO2 *does* cause a winter
storm. But less CO2 would cause different winter storms. The bottom
line is that climate models do great modeling the past, given that
parameters are tweaked to do so.

Every time something new and unexpected happens, an explanation, like
this one, is manufactured.


--

John Larkin, President
Highland Technology, Inc

jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com
http://www.highlandtechnology.com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME thermocouple, LVDT, synchro acquisition and simulation
 
On Feb 5, 10:41 pm, John Larkin
<jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs









pcdhSpamMeSensel...@electrooptical.net> wrote:
John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <inva...@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/intern...

[...]

Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January.  The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter.  On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.
It's unlikely that human welfare is a linear function of planetary
temperature. For one thing, weather-related human welfare tends to
depend on rainfall as well as temperature, and the occasional tornado
or cyclone can makes a few people decidedly unhappy and uncomfortable
more or less independent of temperature.

It's all going to be a little more complicated than you'd like to
think (if you liked to think about anything outside of electronics,
doesn't seem to happen).

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
 
On Feb 6, 4:23 pm, John Larkin
<jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2...@gmail.com> wrote:
On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
<snip>

And GW do not exclude severe winters:

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"

That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.
If it only produced results that everybody expected, there wouldn't be
a lot of point in doing it.

The Barents-Kara Sea phenomena doesn't make the average global
temperature lower, it just occasionally dumps a lot of cold air and
snow on northern Europe.

For a truly counter-expectation effect, look at the Younger Dryas,
where global warming at the end of the last ice age seems to have
turned off the Gulf steam for 1300 years. It may have slowed down the
onset of the current interglacial, but it didn't stop it, while making
the area around the north Atlantic very cold for those 1300 years.

Climate change isn't all blissful warming of your backyard - one of
the many counter-intuitive insights you need to get your head around
if you don't want to sound like a nitwit.

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
 
On Feb 7, 2:57 am, John Larkin <jlar...@highlandtechnology.com> wrote:
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 20:23:46 -0500, "k...@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz"

k...@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz> wrote:
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 07:23:10 -0800, John Larkin
jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:

On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2...@gmail.com> wrote:

On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

"The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an
inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing
the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.

The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to
rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the
Thames in the 17th Century.

Based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations, the data was
issued last week without fanfare by the Met Office and the University of
East Anglia Climatic Research Unit. It confirms that the rising trend in
world temperatures ended in 1997."

Guess What? There's controversy!

Read more:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-....

Mikek

Hi!

You simply has to read this article:

The heat period (1937-1947) variability and extreme weather "drowns"
compared to the weather the last 10-15 years! (see among others figure
5, 7 in the article):

10 November 2011, Climate Variability and Climate Change: The New
Climate Dice:
http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20111110_NewClimateDice.pdf

And GW do not exclude severe winters:

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"

That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.

Isn't that pretty much expected from a chaotic system?

Yes. Everything causes everything, so more CO2 *does* cause a winter
storm. But less CO2 would cause different winter storms. The bottom
line is that climate models do great modeling the past, given that
parameters are tweaked to do so.

Every time something new and unexpected happens, an explanation, like
this one, is manufactured.
Check the publication dates. The Barents- and Kara-Sea ice story was a
real prediction.

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
 
On Feb 7, 2:23 am, "k...@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz" <k...@att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz>
wrote:
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 07:23:10 -0800, John Larkin

jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Mon, 06 Feb 2012 10:54:04 +0100, Glenn <glenn2...@gmail.com> wrote:

On 30/01/12 15.39, amdx wrote:
<snip>

And GW do not exclude severe winters:

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (2010, November 17).
Global warming could cool down northern temperatures in winter.
ScienceDaily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/11/101117114028.htm
Citat: "...
"Recent severe winters like last year's or the one of 2005-06 do not
conflict with the global warming picture, but rather supplement it."
...
Warming of the air over the Barents-Kara Sea seems to bring cold winter
winds to Europe. "This is not what one would expect,"

That last line pretty much sums up the current state of climate
modeling.

Isn't that pretty much expected from a chaotic system?
Weather is chaotic - over periods longer than about ten days. Climate
doesn't seem to be chaotic - John Larkin hasn't yet worked out that
climate and weather are subtlety different concepts, so climate
doesn't have to be chaotic even if weather is.

Try not to make the same mistake. It makes you look ignorant.

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
 
On Sun, 5 Feb 2012 18:39:26 -0800 (PST), Bill Sloman
<bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

On Feb 5, 10:41 pm, John Larkin
jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs









pcdhSpamMeSensel...@electrooptical.net> wrote:
John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <inva...@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/intern...

[...]

Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January.  The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter.  On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.

It's unlikely that human welfare is a linear function of planetary
temperature. For one thing, weather-related human welfare tends to
depend on rainfall as well as temperature, and the occasional tornado
or cyclone can makes a few people decidedly unhappy and uncomfortable
more or less independent of temperature.

It's all going to be a little more complicated than you'd like to
think (if you liked to think about anything outside of electronics,
doesn't seem to happen).
You don't believe in derivatives?


--

John Larkin, President Highland Technology Inc
www.highlandtechnology.com jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom timing and laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME analog, thermocouple, LVDT, synchro, tachometer
Multichannel arbitrary waveform generators
 
On Feb 7, 7:35 am, John Larkin
<jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 5 Feb 2012 18:39:26 -0800 (PST), Bill Sloman









bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On Feb 5, 10:41 pm, John Larkin
jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs

pcdhSpamMeSensel...@electrooptical.net> wrote:
John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <inva...@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/intern...

[...]

Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January.  The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter.  On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.

It's unlikely that human welfare is a linear function of planetary
temperature. For one thing, weather-related human welfare tends to
depend on rainfall as well as temperature, and the occasional tornado
or cyclone can makes a few people decidedly unhappy and uncomfortable
more or less independent of temperature.

It's all going to be a little more complicated than you'd like to
think (if you liked to think about anything outside of electronics,
doesn't seem to happen).

You don't believe in derivatives?
Of course I believe in derivatives, but since I know a bit more than
you do, I get to believe in non-linear responses to a range of
environmental factors, and second order partial derivatives to
describe how "human welfare" - and other ill-defined scoring functions
- vary with - say - rainfall and temperature at the same time.

--
Bill Sloman, Nijmegen
 
On Tue, 7 Feb 2012 03:49:26 -0800 (PST), Bill Sloman
<bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

On Feb 7, 7:35 am, John Larkin
jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 5 Feb 2012 18:39:26 -0800 (PST), Bill Sloman









bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On Feb 5, 10:41 pm, John Larkin
jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 15:19:57 -0500, Phil Hobbs

pcdhSpamMeSensel...@electrooptical.net> wrote:
John Larkin wrote:

On Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:36:08 +0000, Raveninghorde
raveninghorde@invalid> wrote:

On Sat, 04 Feb 2012 14:35:40 -0800, Joerg <inva...@invalid.invalid
wrote:

amdx wrote:
Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years
Met = UK's National Weather Service

Some of the rivers are already in the process of freezing over:

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/object/article?f=/n/a/2012/02/03/intern...

[...]

Cold enough here that watefalls have frozen

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16892848

Ice skating in the fens in Eastern England and -22C reported in the
Netherlands.

Good grief. Cold kills.

Well, as the old saw says, it's an ill wind that blows nobody good.
We've had an Indian summer that lasted all the way through January.  The
last couple of nights it's been about freezing, but we've hardly had a
frost all winter.  On Groundhog Day, everyone was saying that they
didn't care if ol' Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow or not, because
another 6 weeks of _this_ winter would be no big hardship.

Folks elsewhere that aren't used to it are having a bad time, though. :(

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

It's been balmy and sunny in San Francisco this week, and overall warm
and dry so far this winter. That's nice for walking and gardening, but
bad for skiing and for the water supply.

If you were to (somehow) plot mean human welfare against mean
planetary temperature, I'd guess we're currently located at an
up-slope, wild guess +5% per degree C.

It's unlikely that human welfare is a linear function of planetary
temperature. For one thing, weather-related human welfare tends to
depend on rainfall as well as temperature, and the occasional tornado
or cyclone can makes a few people decidedly unhappy and uncomfortable
more or less independent of temperature.

It's all going to be a little more complicated than you'd like to
think (if you liked to think about anything outside of electronics,
doesn't seem to happen).

You don't believe in derivatives?

Of course I believe in derivatives, but since I know a bit more than
you do, I get to believe in non-linear responses to a range of
environmental factors, and second order partial derivatives to
describe how "human welfare" - and other ill-defined scoring functions
- vary with - say - rainfall and temperature at the same time.
Word salad. Hand waving. You know so much about so many things that
you are paralyzed.


--

John Larkin, President Highland Technology Inc
www.highlandtechnology.com jlarkin at highlandtechnology dot com

Precision electronic instrumentation
Picosecond-resolution Digital Delay and Pulse generators
Custom timing and laser controllers
Photonics and fiberoptic TTL data links
VME analog, thermocouple, LVDT, synchro, tachometer
Multichannel arbitrary waveform generators
 

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