Driver to drive?

On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 06:52:19 -0600, mr_antone wrote:

There you go again.
Using cheap non-words like "warmists ".


It has the advantage of being benign. It is not a semantic tarbrush like
"denier", intended to evoke images of holocaust denial.

Malarkey.
mr_antone
There you go again. The old proof by assertion. You've been caught using
cheap non-words again and all you do is deny it. I guess that makes you a
"denier"!
 
Bill Sloman wrote:
On 23 Dec, 07:25, 1treePetrifiedForestLane <Space...@hotmail.com
wrote:
there are two main problems that the confirmerists & denierists refuse
to acknowledge: a)
the continuous rise of teh two largest ice sheets,
since the first intl. bipolar year ('57-9), and b)
the matching lack of a rise in sealevel, viz Morner.

It's not a problem. The top of the ice sheet is fresh snow, which
contains a lot of air. Local warming puts more water vapour in the air
over the oceans, which means more snow falling on the ice sheets.

The ice sheets become more voluminous, but not more massive - the
GRACE satellites are measuring the mass of the ice sheets, and they
are all shrinking. The consequent corresponding rise in sea level is
fairly small, and not inconsistent with what we are measuring.

Sea level rise probably won't become a problem until the ice starts
sliding off into the ocean rather faster than it's doing at the
moment. When the Laurentian ice sheet (over most of Canada) slid off
into the North Atlantic at the end of the last ice age, it did so in
big chunks, which apparently turned off the Gulf Stream twice. This is
one of the interesting possible consequences of further anthropogenic
global warming, but one which is not easy to model or predict.
How's Greenland doing? Is all that ice turning into a
gigantic bucket of fresh water that will suddenly break lose
and pour into the Atlantic swamping the thermo-haline flow?

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 23 Dec, 03:00, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 23:54, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 18:04, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 03:24, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 23:34, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 15:31, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

On 21 Dec, 12:17, RichD <r_delaney2...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Perhaps there will be warming, but not overheating:

snip

The Wall Street Journal isn't a person, but an organisation, and their
propensity to publish denialist propaganda is well established.

You still can't do it. Amazing. I bet you don't even know what
the issues in global warming are. All you can do is call names
and appeal to authority.

If you want the scientific chapter and verse, go to

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

http://www.amazon.com/Merchants-Doubt-Handful-Scientists-Obscured/dp/...

It's not the only information available about what's going on, but it
does set this latest round of big business trashing inconvenient
scientific evidence in it's historical context.

You've been suckered by a well-financed public relations campaign
directed by the same people who earlier told you that smoking wasn't
actually all that bad for your health

More logical fallacies.

There no logic involved, merely an exposition of historical fact.

OK, tell me who these "same people" are.

"The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2006/sep/19/ethicalliving.g2

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/The_Advancement_of_Sound_Science...

Surely you can pull a specific example from that. Just provide one.
I did - "The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

George Monbiot's Guardian article - effectively a chapter from his
book "Heat" if I've remembered the dates correctly - talks about
TASSC, and I threw in the SourceWatch detail to flesh out the picture.

Don't send me on a wild goose chase.
I gave you a specific organisation, and enough detail on that
organisation to make the point. You've failed to process the data.
Your reaction is that of a silly goose who doesn't know how to deal
with actual facts.

<snip>

Yet you can't show how.

I just did.

You did not. You posted a steaming pile of links.
The data is there, but you are too dim, or too dedicated to your
demented point of view, to be able to process it.

It's cheap and desperate,

It might be if it were wrong. It isn't.

Repeated assertion is not a winning tactic, either.
As you might have worked out by now, if you had a functioning brain.

<snip>

In fact, it's stupid for you to even do that when you should know
that the central question of CAGW is the sensitivity number. Everyone
with any skin in the game at all knows that, and that is so unambiguous
all you have to do is state a real in the range 0.5 to 6 in this
context and everyone knows precisely what is referenced.

But you don't. And the 0.5 to 6 is way too high these days

Huh? We don't even know the sign for sure.
You can't even identify the dimensions - units - of the sensitivity
you are pontificating about, and yet you think you can make credible
claims about the current level of scientific knowledge about whatever
it is you think you are talking about.

Best estimates seem
to be 1-2, but they are simply estimates and no one can
characterize our chaotic climate system well enough to even
achieve statisical likelihood of their estimate.
Weather is chaotic. Climate isn't. We've been pointing this out to
John Larkin here for years. We've even pointed out that this
particular insight goes back to John von Neumann, not much after the
crucial computer modelling fiasco that drew everybody's attention to
the fact that weather is chaotic. John Larkin's yet to take it on
board, and you don't promise to be a quick study either.

<snipped the rest of your incompetent pretensions>

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 23 Dec, 07:25, 1treePetrifiedForestLane <Space...@hotmail.com>
wrote:
there are two main problems that the confirmerists & denierists refuse
to acknowledge: a)
the continuous rise of teh two largest ice sheets,
since the first intl. bipolar year ('57-9), and b)
the matching lack of a rise in sealevel, viz Morner.
It's not a problem. The top of the ice sheet is fresh snow, which
contains a lot of air. Local warming puts more water vapour in the air
over the oceans, which means more snow falling on the ice sheets.

The ice sheets become more voluminous, but not more massive - the
GRACE satellites are measuring the mass of the ice sheets, and they
are all shrinking. The consequent corresponding rise in sea level is
fairly small, and not inconsistent with what we are measuring.

Sea level rise probably won't become a problem until the ice starts
sliding off into the ocean rather faster than it's doing at the
moment. When the Laurentian ice sheet (over most of Canada) slid off
into the North Atlantic at the end of the last ice age, it did so in
big chunks, which apparently turned off the Gulf Stream twice. This is
one of the interesting possible consequences of further anthropogenic
global warming, but one which is not easy to model or predict.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 23 Dec, 04:58, John Larkin
<jjlar...@highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
On Thu, 20 Dec 2012 17:17:05 -0800 (PST), RichD <r_delaney2...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Perhaps there will be warming, but not overheating:

http://tinyurl.com/wsj-ridley-on-GW

1.6* C seems survivable, maybe even benign.
Ridley isn't a scientist, but he does cite credible
sources.

Of course, we know Sam Wormley will give this
due consideration, famous as he is for rationality
and objectivity and erudition, immune to hysteria
and ego and emotional investment.

PS  Epigram from the article: "... given the IPCC's
record of replacing evidence-based policy-making
with policy-based evidence-making..."

Is this dumb or what?

http://www.sfgate.com/science/article/Weather-warnings-become-reality...

apparently AGW waited intil 2012 to hit us all at once. Imagine a US city
hitting 95 degrees in the summer! Outrageous!
It's standard newspaper over-dramatisation, nothing more. English
language science journalism is rubbish - the journalists who do it see
it as one step up from covering the local flower shows, and a stepping
stone on the way to covering local politics, and haven't got a clue
about the science they purport to report.

Dutch science journalism was much better. They still make occasional
mistakes, but they were rare enough that when I found one I'd point it
out to my wife.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
On 23 Dec, 03:00, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 23:54, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 18:04, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 03:24, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 23:34, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 15:31, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

On 21 Dec, 12:17, RichD <r_delaney2...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Perhaps there will be warming, but not overheating:

snip

The Wall Street Journal isn't a person, but an organisation, and their
propensity to publish denialist propaganda is well established.

You still can't do it. Amazing. I bet you don't even know what
the issues in global warming are. All you can do is call names
and appeal to authority.

If you want the scientific chapter and verse, go to

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

http://www.amazon.com/Merchants-Doubt-Handful-Scientists-Obscured/dp/...

It's not the only information available about what's going on, but it
does set this latest round of big business trashing inconvenient
scientific evidence in it's historical context.

You've been suckered by a well-financed public relations campaign
directed by the same people who earlier told you that smoking wasn't
actually all that bad for your health

More logical fallacies.

There no logic involved, merely an exposition of historical fact.

OK, tell me who these "same people" are.

"The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2006/sep/19/ethicalliving.g2

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/The_Advancement_of_Sound_Science...

Surely you can pull a specific example from that. Just provide one.

I did - "The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

George Monbiot's Guardian article - effectively a chapter from his
book "Heat" if I've remembered the dates correctly - talks about
TASSC, and I threw in the SourceWatch detail to flesh out the picture.
I'm not your student. Don't give me sources and expect me to chase
them, assuming you are some sort of deity whose perspicacity
I should worship. You need to bring out something, describe it
in your own words so I know you understand it, then wait for a
response. It's called conversation.

Don't send me on a wild goose chase.

I gave you a specific organisation, and enough detail on that
organisation to make the point. You've failed to process the data.
Your reaction is that of a silly goose who doesn't know how to deal
with actual facts.
Make *what* point? You won't state one. All you'll do is make vague
accusations and expect me to chase your references.

snip

Yet you can't show how.

I just did.

You did not. You posted a steaming pile of links.

The data is there, but you are too dim, or too dedicated to your
demented point of view, to be able to process it.
Again, I am not your student. And now I am not going to be your
interlocutor, either, because I am sick of your behavior.

It's cheap and desperate,

It might be if it were wrong. It isn't.

Repeated assertion is not a winning tactic, either.

As you might have worked out by now, if you had a functioning brain.
More ad-hominem, ho-hum.

snip

In fact, it's stupid for you to even do that when you should know
that the central question of CAGW is the sensitivity number. Everyone
with any skin in the game at all knows that, and that is so unambiguous
all you have to do is state a real in the range 0.5 to 6 in this
context and everyone knows precisely what is referenced.

But you don't. And the 0.5 to 6 is way too high these days

Huh? We don't even know the sign for sure.

You can't even identify the dimensions - units - of the sensitivity
you are pontificating about, and yet you think you can make credible
claims about the current level of scientific knowledge about whatever
it is you think you are talking about.
What do you mean, "can't identify the units". Those are your words.
I assume that you know what we are talking about here.

Best estimates seem
to be 1-2, but they are simply estimates and no one can
characterize our chaotic climate system well enough to even
achieve statisical likelihood of their estimate.

Weather is chaotic. Climate isn't. We've been pointing this out to
John Larkin here for years. We've even pointed out that this
particular insight goes back to John von Neumann, not much after the
crucial computer modelling fiasco that drew everybody's attention to
the fact that weather is chaotic. John Larkin's yet to take it on
board, and you don't promise to be a quick study either.
Climate is a result of chaotic forcings. Given the perspective of
millenia, one might say climate is not chaotic. But from the
perspective of 160 years of temperature data, and speaking in tenths
of a degree, it is not a system that is immune to the effects of chaos.

Can you characterize all of the forcings in the climate system? Until
a couple of years ago, every climate model represented cloud cover in
an extremely simplistic fashion. Clouds aren't simple, and there is
evidence that solar effects may be amplified by clouds. When you
can't characterize a system completely, and it is subject to many and
varied forcings, the result is chaos on the decadal scales we are
speaking of.

The point is, if you claim that you know these forcings to the extent
necessary to claim certainty, *you* are the one denying science. We
don't know nearly enough to make such claims.

So what am I denying? You won't answer that question, I see, so I
am going to leave you to your insults and cheap semantic tricks. I
will again point out that those devices are what make you lose the
argument, but apparently you can't (or won't, because you know you
are losing and have no other answers) take *that* on board.

Bye.

--

"It is a remarkable fact that despite the worldwide expenditure of perhaps
US$50 billion since 1990, and the efforts of tens of thousands of scientists
worldwide, no human climate signal has yet been detected that is distinct
from natural variation." - Bob Carter
 
Mickey Langan wrote:
Make *what* point? You won't state one. All you'll do is make vague
accusations and expect me to chase your references.

It's all he's done for over a decade. That, and live on welfare
while whining that no one will hire old fools like him. Most people on
SED have him kill filed. He also uses multiple email addresses which
will get around some filters.
 
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 23:34:42 -0800, Bill Sloman wrote:

On 22 Dec, 10:22, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 10:24:14 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing a
climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel? And you are going to
resort the the cheap trick of the semantic tarbrush trying to equate
holocaust denial for denying *that*?

Actually, Dr. Sloman seems to be unaware that while it is indisputable
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and is responsible for some of the warmth
of the earth, doubling it won't have much effect, due to the fact that
the CO2 IR window is totally blocked.

The "fact" that the CO2 IR window is "totally blocked" - it isn't -
doesn't have the significance you imagine. You need to get your head
around the concept of "effective emitting altitude" which is wavelength
dependent number. Below that altitude, most of the radiation emitted at
the wavelength is re-absorbed within the atmosphere. At that altitude,
half of it makes it out into outer space.

It's the temperature at that altitude that thus determines the amount of
IR radiated to outer space at that wavelength. More CO2 pushes it
higher, where the atmosphere is colder. Since the IR emitted has to
balance the essentially constant IR flux from the Sun, the temperatures
all the way down to the surface have to warm up to keep the temperature
at the emitting altitude a bit warmer than it used to be.
Then state the hypothesis in equation form with all the relevant
variables of your choice and show how it predicts and accurately
describes the current state.

Your argument is a big fail. First of all, it IS blocked.

<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Atmospheric_Transmission.png>

The only band that contributes to the greenhouse effect is the 14-20
micrometer band, and it IS saturated.

You may see a TRIVIAL amount of warming due to a raise in the sidebars,
but you'd also see a decrease due to CO2's absorption band in the sun's
spectral output to the earth.

The sun is lot hotter than the earth, and most of it's energy comes in
above the CO2 absorbtion bands. Look up Plancks Law.
WTF?! Dude, the greenhouse effect is about blocking the IR bands in the
EARTH's black body curve, not the suns! Blocking incoming radiation in
the SUN's black body curve causes COOLING.

LOL! You don't even know how the greenhouse effect works!! That is just
too damned funny!
 
On 12/22/12 8:17 PM, Marvin the Martian wrote:
Your argument is a big fail. First of all, it IS blocked

The atmosphere is completely opaque at the center of the carbon dioxide
band and therefore there is no change in the absorption as the carbon
dioxide amount varies. This is entirely true for a spectral interval
*about one micron wide* on either side of the center of the carbon
dioxide band. *However, the argument neglects* the hundreds of spectral
lines from carbon dioxide that are outside this interval of complete
absorption. The change in absorption for a given variation in carbon
dioxide amount is greatest for a spectral interval that is only
partially opaque; the temperature variation at the surface of the Earth
is determined by the change in absorption of such intervals.

Marvin cannot learn this because he doesn't want it to be true!

Nature does not care what Marvin wants!
 
Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:

On 23 Dec, 00:21, Sleepalot <sleepalo...@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 10:22, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 10:24:14 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse effect
argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe you
-- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing a
climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel? And you are going to
resort the the cheap trick of the semantic tarbrush trying to equate
holocaust denial for denying *that*?

Actually, Dr. Sloman seems to be unaware that while it is indisputable
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and is responsible for some of the warmth of
the earth, doubling it won't have much effect, due to the fact that the
CO2 IR window is totally blocked.

The "fact" that the CO2 IR window is "totally blocked" - it isn't -
doesn't have the significance you imagine. You need to get your head
around the concept of "effective emitting altitude" which is
wavelength dependent number. Below that altitude, most of the
radiation emitted at the wavelength is re-absorbed within the
atmosphere. At that altitude, half of it makes it out into outer
space.

It's the temperature at that altitude that thus determines the amount
of IR radiated to outer space at that wavelength. More CO2 pushes it
higher, where the atmosphere is colder. Since the IR emitted has to
balance the essentially constant IR flux from the Sun,

Night-time.

The earth has quite a lot of thermal mass. The night side of the earth
does cool off a bit during the night, but not enough to make much
difference to the radiative balance.

snip
Oooh, you're nimble.

What happened to that "balance"?
 
On 23 Dec, 13:17, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 23:34:42 -0800, Bill Sloman wrote:
On 22 Dec, 10:22, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 10:24:14 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing a
climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel? And you are going to
resort the the cheap trick of the semantic tarbrush trying to equate
holocaust denial for denying *that*?

Actually, Dr. Sloman seems to be unaware that while it is indisputable
that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and is responsible for some of the warmth
of the earth, doubling it won't have much effect, due to the fact that
the CO2 IR window is totally blocked.

The "fact" that the CO2 IR window is "totally blocked" - it isn't -
doesn't have the significance you imagine. You need to get your head
around the concept of "effective emitting altitude" which is wavelength
dependent number. Below that altitude, most of the radiation emitted at
the wavelength is re-absorbed within the atmosphere. At that altitude,
half of it makes it out into outer space.

It's the temperature at that altitude that thus determines the amount of
IR radiated to outer space at that wavelength. More CO2 pushes it
higher, where the atmosphere is colder. Since the IR emitted has to
balance the essentially constant IR flux from the Sun, the temperatures
all the way down to the surface have to warm up to keep the temperature
at the emitting altitude a bit warmer than it used to be.

Then state the hypothesis in equation form with all the relevant
variables of your choice and show how it predicts and accurately
describes the current state.
It's been done. IIRR you can download the suite of software that lets
you run it on your computer. You've got to register, and it takes
about ten days before they'll get around to recognising your
registration and letting you download the software (which is why I
never bothered).

http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/hitran/

People have been doing it for a while now.

http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/19650017692_1965017692.pdf

Your argument is a big fail. First of all, it IS blocked.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Atmospheric_Transmission.png

The only band that contributes to the greenhouse effect is the 14-20
micrometer band, and it IS saturated.
At ground level. Which means that the IR radiation is still moving up
the atmosphere, but in small steps, and the energy is being
redistributed across the spectrum as the atmosphere gets cooler as you
go up, until you get to the effective radiating altitude.

It's only direct radiation to the rest of the universe that is blocked
- at ground level. Radiation is still one of the mechanisms of energy
transfer that gets the energy up to the various effective radiating
altitudes.

The fact that you don't seem to have heard of the effective radiating
altitude, and have completely failed to understand it's significance
when the concept was explained to you does make you something of a
dunce. Most of the climate experts made the same mistake before about
1960, but the penny dropped back then, so you'd be fifty years behind
the times.

You may see a TRIVIAL amount of warming due to a raise in the sidebars,
but you'd also see a decrease due to CO2's absorption band in the sun's
spectral output to the earth.

The sun is lot hotter than the earth, and most of it's energy comes in
above the CO2 absorbtion bands. Look up Plancks Law.

WTF?! Dude, the greenhouse effect is about blocking the IR bands in the
EARTH's black body curve, not the suns! Blocking incoming radiation in
the SUN's black body curve causes COOLING.
Right. But since most of the energy input from the sun comes in at
shorter wavelengths than CO2 absorbs, changes in CO2 level in the
atmosphere don't have much - if any effect - on the energy absorbed,
while the CO2 spectrum sits rather more centrally in the range of
wavelengths emitted.

LOL! You don't even know how the greenhouse effect works!!
Wrong. The mis-perception is entirely yours, and it's a pretty comical
one.

That is just too damned funny!
And you are the butt of the joke.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 15:15:38 -0500, "Michael A. Terrell"
<mike.terrell@earthlink.net> wrote:

krw@att.bizzz wrote:

On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 12:27:36 +0000 (UTC), RipeCrisbies
GnomeLess@lympledger.co.uk> wrote:

On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 06:08:03 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:

It has the advantage of being benign. It is not a semantic tarbrush like
"denier", intended to evoke images of holocaust denial.

I think that is something going on in your mind, most people know that
the word denier refers to nylons.

Are your really asserting that a homograph has any meaning in this
discussion?


Or that he has a fetish for wearing nylons?
Slowman's nylons.
 
krw@att.bizzz wrote:
On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 15:15:38 -0500, "Michael A. Terrell"
mike.terrell@earthlink.net> wrote:


krw@att.bizzz wrote:

On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 12:27:36 +0000 (UTC), RipeCrisbies
GnomeLess@lympledger.co.uk> wrote:

On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 06:08:03 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:

It has the advantage of being benign. It is not a semantic tarbrush like
"denier", intended to evoke images of holocaust denial.

I think that is something going on in your mind, most people know that
the word denier refers to nylons.

Are your really asserting that a homograph has any meaning in this
discussion?


Or that he has a fetish for wearing nylons?

Slowman's nylons.


'Ugliest Queen ever!!!' ;-)
 
On 23 Dec, 11:28, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 23 Dec, 03:00, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 23:54, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 18:04, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 03:24, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 23:34, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 15:31, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

On 21 Dec, 12:17, RichD <r_delaney2...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Perhaps there will be warming, but not overheating:

snip

The Wall Street Journal isn't a person, but an organisation, and their
propensity to publish denialist propaganda is well established.

You still can't do it. Amazing. I bet you don't even know what
the issues in global warming are. All you can do is call names
and appeal to authority.

If you want the scientific chapter and verse, go to

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

http://www.amazon.com/Merchants-Doubt-Handful-Scientists-Obscured/dp/...

It's not the only information available about what's going on, but it
does set this latest round of big business trashing inconvenient
scientific evidence in it's historical context.

You've been suckered by a well-financed public relations campaign
directed by the same people who earlier told you that smoking wasn't
actually all that bad for your health

More logical fallacies.

There no logic involved, merely an exposition of historical fact.

OK, tell me who these "same people" are.

"The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2006/sep/19/ethicalliving.g2

http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/The_Advancement_of_Sound_Science....

Surely you can pull a specific example from that. Just provide one.

I did -  "The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition."

George Monbiot's Guardian article - effectively a chapter from his
book "Heat" if I've remembered the dates correctly - talks about
TASSC, and I threw in the SourceWatch detail to flesh out the picture.

I'm not your student. Don't give me sources and expect me to chase
them,
The George Monbiot piece is a straightforward newspaper article,
printed in the Guardian newspaper. It's tolerably long as newspaper
articles go - the Guardian is an up-market UK newspaper which can
expect it's readers to have an adult attention span. All you had to do
was clikc on the web-site and read it - there was no chasing involved.

assuming you are some sort of deity whose perspicacity
I should worship.
George Monbiot may be an adequate approximation to the kind of deity.
There are a few other investigative journalists around who deserve
similar respect.

You need to bring out something, describe it in your own words so I know you understand it, then wait for a
response. It's called conversation.
It would be, if there was any chance that you could understand
anything technical enough to be interesting, let alone form and
opinion on whether I understood it.

Don't send me on a wild goose chase.

I gave you a specific organisation, and enough detail on that
organisation to make the point. You've failed to process the data.
Your reaction is that of a silly goose who doesn't know how to deal
with actual facts.

Make *what* point?
That some of the people busy denying the reality and/or importance of
anthropogenic global warming were busy denying the reality and
importance of the health dangers of cigarette smoking some twenty
years ago.

You won't state one.
I had thought that the point was obvious. I seem to have over-
estimated your intelligence, or perhaps your willingness to understand
any point of view that differs from your own.

All you'll do is make vague accusations and expect me to chase your references.
There's nothing vague about my accusations about the denialist
propaganda machine, and the "chasing" you are objecting to was
clicking on a web-site and reading a newspaper article.

snip

Yet you can't show how.

I just did.

You did not. You posted a steaming pile of links.

The data is there, but you are too dim, or too dedicated to your
demented point of view, to be able to process it.

Again, I am not your student. And now I am not going to be your
interlocutor, either, because I am sick of your behavior.
You aren't exactly promising student material, and even less
promising as interlocutor material, since you are treating this forum
as a soap box rather than an area of debate.

It's cheap and desperate,

It might be if it were wrong. It isn't.

Repeated assertion is not a winning tactic, either.

As you might have worked out by now, if you had a functioning brain.

More ad-hominem, ho-hum.
You are claiming to be human? A hominid perhaps, but well short of
sapient.

snip

In fact, it's stupid for you to even do that when you should know
that the central question of CAGW is the sensitivity number. Everyone
with any skin in the game at all knows that, and that is so unambiguous
all you have to do is state a real in the range 0.5 to 6 in this
context and everyone knows precisely what is referenced.

But you don't. And the 0.5 to 6 is way too high these days

Huh? We don't even know the sign for sure.

You can't even identify the dimensions - units - of the sensitivity
you are pontificating about, and yet you think you can make credible
claims about the current level of scientific knowledge about whatever
it is you think you are talking about.

What do you mean, "can't identify the units". Those are your words.
I assume that you know what we are talking about here.
I know what I'm talking about. I've got no evidence that you do, and
your unwillingness to run the risk of specifying what your
"sensitivity" parameter means in terms of SI units isn't making me any
less sceptical.

Weather is chaotic. Climate isn't. We've been pointing this out to
John Larkin here for years. We've even pointed out that this
particular insight goes back to John von Neumann, not much after the
crucial computer modelling fiasco that drew everybody's attention to
the fact that weather is chaotic. John Larkin's yet to take it on
board, and you don't promise to be a quick study either.

Climate is a result of chaotic forcings.
The forcing aren't chaotic. The atmosphere churns around ore or less
randomly, as do the individual molecules that compose the atmosphere,
but that doesn't make climate chaotic.

Given the perspective of millenia, one might say climate is not chaotic.
Farmers have a shorter attention span, and they don't find it chaotic
in any meaningful way.

But from the
perspective of 160 years of temperature data, and speaking in tenths
of a degree, it is not a system that is immune to the effects of chaos.
It's not immune to the effects of the North Atlantic multidecadal
oscillation and the El Nino/La Nina alternation, and we don't know
enough about them (and similar stuff that may be going on in less
obvious patches of ocean) to yet say whether they are chaotic or
merely complicated

Can you characterize all of the forcings in the climate system? Until
a couple of years ago, every climate model represented cloud cover in
an extremely simplistic fashion.
Cloud cover isn't a forcing, it's just part of the system being
modelled.

Clouds aren't simple, and there is
evidence that solar effects may be amplified by clouds.
Lindzen had ideas about this, but they were exploded at least a decade
ago.

When you can't characterize a system completely, and it is subject to many and
varied forcings, the result is chaos on the decadal scales we are
speaking of.
Identify what you imagine "forcings" to be. It won't make you look
anything less like an idiot, but it will probably give us a good
laugh.
Meanwhile, claiming that a system that you don't understand is chaotic
is yet more evidence that you haven't a clue.

<snipped the rest of the empty rhetoric>

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
On 23 Dec, 12:57, "Michael A. Terrell" <mike.terr...@earthlink.net>
wrote:
Mickey Langan wrote:

Make *what* point? You won't state one. All you'll do is make vague
accusations and expect me to chase your references.

   It's all he's done for over a decade.  That, and live on welfare
while whining that no one will hire old fools like him.
I got unemployment benefit in the Netherlands from 2003 to 2007. It
might have been welfare in the US, but in the Netherlands it was
funded out of contributions collected from people who were in work as
a sort of collective insurance policy. It probably paid my living
expenses but we lived on my wife's much larger income, and still saved
a significant proportion of that.

I don't whine about the Dutch attitude to hiring elderly workers. I
don't think much of it - like everybody else who comments on it, I
think it is stupid, and I certainly found it inconvenient, but it's
their country and they are free to screw it up any way they like.

Most people on SED have him kill filed.
Jim-out-of-touch-with-reality-Thompson is the only regular poster who
admits to it, and he kill-files everybody who shows him up as the
ignorant red-neck that he is.

He also uses multiple email addresses which will get around some filters.
Really? As far as I know it's been something like nine years since I
intentionally posted as anything other than bill.sloman@ieee.org.

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney
 
"Bill Sloman" wrote in message
news:26fd7b40-d640-498b-b7be-81645cbe9931@po6g2000pbb.googlegroups.com...

On 23 Dec, 12:57, "Michael A. Terrell" <mike.terr...@earthlink.net
wrote:

Most people on SED have him kill filed.

Jim-out-of-touch-with-reality-Thompson is the only regular poster who
admits to it, and he kill-files everybody who shows him up as the
ignorant red-neck that he is.

He also uses multiple email addresses which will get around some filters.

Really? As far as I know it's been something like nine years since I
intentionally posted as anything other than bill.sloman@ieee.org.
It seems that Michael Terrell has become increasingly deluded lately, as
evidenced by these two off-hand statements of obvious fiction presented as
fact. Perhaps he believes this, which seriously undermines his credibility
in general. A similar malady seems to have afflicted Jim Thompson lately as
well.

As I have heard others say, these are examples of people "typing themselves
smart", or trying to build their own version of reality and "truth" by sheer
volume of words, or childish accusations, threats, and obscenities. It seems
to be a desperate attempt to derail an otherwise rational and polite
discussion, when their POV has become seriously and effectively challenged
and refuted.

It is interesting and educational to debate issues here other than
electronics, and I respect and appreciate alternate opinions and factual or
at least rational ideas and information. But it still amazes me how people
with obvious technical and scientific backgrounds can continue to argue on
the basis of emotion and wishful thinking, or even hatred and rejection of
anything which might infringe upon their limited and selfish beliefs.

Paul
 
On 22 Dec, 07:26, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 03:24, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:





On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 23:34, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:
On 21 Dec, 15:31, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

On 21 Dec, 12:17, RichD <r_delaney2...@yahoo.com> wrote:
Perhaps there will be warming, but not overheating:

http://tinyurl.com/wsj-ridley-on-GW

1.6* C seems survivable, maybe even benign.
Ridley isn't a scientist, but he does cite credible
sources.

Of course, we know Sam Wormley will give this
due consideration, famous as he is for rationality
and objectivity and erudition, immune to hysteria
and ego and emotional investment.

PS ?Epigram from the article: "... given the IPCC's
record of replacing evidence-based policy-making
with policy-based evidence-making..."

Given the Wall Street Journal's enthusiasm for publishing denialist
propaganda,

You can't even make it a sentence without an ad-hominem. Is it
any wonder that global warming proponents have completely lost
the PR battle?

The Wall Street Journal isn't a person, but an organisation, and their
propensity to publish denialist propaganda is well established.

You still can't do it. Amazing. I bet you don't even know what
the issues in global warming are. All you can do is call names
and appeal to authority.

If you want the scientific chapter and verse, go to

http://www.aip.org/history/climate/summary.htm

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know enough
about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the greenhouse
effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

http://www.amazon.com/Merchants-Doubt-Handful-Scientists-Obscured/dp/...

It's not the only information available about what's going on, but it
does set this latest round of big business trashing inconvenient
scientific evidence in it's historical context.

You've been suckered by a well-financed public relations campaign
directed by the same people who earlier told you that smoking wasn't
actually all that bad for your health

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing
a climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel?

Religions have gospels. Science just has evidence, and not-yet-
falsified interpretations of that evidence. If you were sensitive to
the scientific content of the propositions that you seem to be
objecting to, you'd identify - and quantity - the variable that was
going to create the 3+ K variation. As a clue, it's usually a doubling
of the atmospheric CO2 level from the pre-industrial 270ppm.


Your enthusiasm for typing out phrases that you clearly don't
understand puts you squarely in the "gospel-pushing" camp.

snipped more rubbish

--
Bill Sloman, Sydney- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

"you'd identify - and quantity - the variable that was
going to create the 3+ K variation. As a clue, it's usually a
doubling
of the atmospheric CO2 level from the pre-industrial 270ppm"

You are completely wrong. CO2 itself will give about 1 to 1.2C for a
doubling. THe additional warming comes from WV according to the IPCC,
which thay suppose is a positive feedback.

Given that rain is a massive negative feedback their stance is highly
suspect.


So, please apraise yourself of the actualy science, it is crucial
because if WV is not a positive feedback CO2 will be beneficial to the
planet. That IS scientific fact.
 
On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 00:08:11 -0800, Bill Sloman wrote:

On 22 Dec, 18:07, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:









On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 10:24:14 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:

On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know
enough about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the
greenhouse effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing a
climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel? And you are going to
resort the the cheap trick of the semantic tarbrush trying to equate
holocaust denial for denying *that*?

Actually, Mr. Sloman seems to be unaware that while it is
indisputable that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and is responsible for some
of the warmth of the earth, doubling it won't have much effect, due
to the fact that the CO2 IR window is totally blocked. You may see a
TRIVIAL amount of warming due to a raise in the sidebars, but you'd
also see a decrease due to CO2's absorption band in the sun's
spectral output to the earth.

This is well known - and it is why so many "climate scientist" are
looking for a "positive feedback mechanism" as IR bands alone do NOT
explain the claimed warming (which is due, in part, to the claimed
warming being a big fat lie... a lot of it is UHI and due to not
following their own methodology!)

When someone says something stupid and then backs it up with "I have
a PhD!" all they're really doing is pissing on their own degree and
proving they shouldn't have one. Appeals to authority are a big fail.

What's clear is that people intuitively can tell they have no real
argument by the tactics they constantly use.

That should be true of the denialist propaganda, but it does seem to be
fooling some of the people - Mickey Langan included - all of the time.

That is why they have lost and faded into irrelevance.

The denialist propaganda machine has done what it was intended to do -
to buy a little more time for the fossil carbon extraction industries to
make a lot more money. It may have done enough to guarantee a human
population crash in a generation or two - it's certainly done enough to
make avoiding such a crash a lot more difficult.

Doha was a joke, and no one even tried to pretend it wasn't. All
because they use these stupid tactics that a child can see through.

Not exactly. The problem was that they kept on presenting the scientific
evidence, and the "merchants of doubt" know how to get the child-minded
to under-value it.
All you got to do is put the equation that makes the predictions in the
newsgroup. You can use all the variables you want besides CO2, but you
have to produce a hypothesis that shows that as CO2 rises, warming rises,
and that hypothesis has to predict.

If you want to shut up the "denialist", then that's all you have to do,
is produce a falsifiable hypothesis that makes accurate predictions. It
is not up to denialist to prove you wrong, it is up to the AGW frauds to
prove they're right.

So, do it, smart ass.

Fact is, every single computer model ever made FAILED to predict the
recent non-warming trend of the last 16 years. All we heard from you guys
is a lot of "yeah but!" and "just wait!" Not only did those models fail
to predict the last 16 years, they always fail to agree with known
observation when you go far enough into the past - that's because they're
all curve fitting.

On the other hand, there's this guy named Svensmark who's simple
hypothesis agrees with the last 4 billion years of the climate record,
and DID predict the recent cooling. All you "scientist" do is pretend you
don't understand the theory, lie about the theory, and slander the guy.

That's not how science is done, son. Go sue your school and try to get
all the money back. You were supposed to learn science, not fraud.
 
On Sat, 22 Dec 2012 06:21:38 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:

On 2012-12-22, Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
On 22 Dec, 18:07, Mickey Langan <mic...@perusion.net> wrote:
On 2012-12-21, Marvin the Martian <mar...@ontomars.org> wrote:
On Fri, 21 Dec 2012 10:24:14 -0600, Mickey Langan wrote:

On 2012-12-21, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...@ieee.org> wrote:

I did a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry which means I got to know
enough about infra-red absorbtion and emission to follow the
greenhouse effect argument, so you'd probably lose your bet.

If that is the case -- and I am far from telling you that I believe
you -- why do you resort to using cheap non-words like "denialist"?

Denying what? Denying that the models of certain theorists showing
a climate sensitivity of 3+ degrees C are gospel? And you are going
to resort the the cheap trick of the semantic tarbrush trying to
equate holocaust denial for denying *that*?

Actually, Mr. Sloman seems to be unaware that while it is
indisputable that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and is responsible for
some of the warmth of the earth, doubling it won't have much effect,
due to the fact that the CO2 IR window is totally blocked. You may
see a TRIVIAL amount of warming due to a raise in the sidebars, but
you'd also see a decrease due to CO2's absorption band in the sun's
spectral output to the earth.

This is well known - and it is why so many "climate scientist" are
looking for a "positive feedback mechanism" as IR bands alone do NOT
explain the claimed warming (which is due, in part, to the claimed
warming being a big fat lie... a lot of it is UHI and due to not
following their own methodology!)

When someone says something stupid and then backs it up with "I have
a PhD!" all they're really doing is pissing on their own degree and
proving they shouldn't have one. Appeals to authority are a big
fail.

What's clear is that people intuitively can tell they have no real
argument by the tactics they constantly use.

That should be true of the denialist propaganda, but it does seem to be
fooling some of the people - Mickey Langan included - all of the time.

Nice assertion. Anything to back it up in the way of evidence? Just
point out the fallacious nature of some arguments made.


That is why they have lost and faded into irrelevance.

The denialist propaganda machine has done what it was intended to do -
to buy a little more time for the fossil carbon extraction industries
to make a lot more money.

See, there you go. Conspiracy theories. The "evil carbon-funded
denialist machine". Except no one has ever found the funding -- it
doesn't exist. Now if you want to talk funding which is incontroverible
and self- evident, how about the scientists who have ridden the "climate
change" gravy train for the past three decades. Love this cartoon:

http://duxmail.com/latest.jpg

Perhaps you are subject to that one yourself. I can see the conundrum of
the climate scientist. It must be galling to have studied a long time
only to find out the train you have chosen to ride seems to have run out
of fuel.

It may have done enough to guarantee a human population crash in a
generation or two - it's certainly done enough to make avoiding such a
crash a lot more difficult.

These apocalyptic end-of-the-world forecasts would be more chilling if
the GTA had been cooperating with the dire predictions of the past. So
far, I'll take comfort in the knowledge that apocalyptic end-of-the-
world forecasters are so far 0 for 100,000. Oh, 100,001 now that we have
hit Dec 22.


Doha was a joke, and no one even tried to pretend it wasn't. All
because they use these stupid tactics that a child can see through.

Not exactly. The problem was that they kept on presenting the
scientific evidence, and the "merchants of doubt" know how to get the
child-minded to under-value it.

See? You prove my point every time you speak. You can't help but make
these types of claims, it seems to be in your DNA.
Mr. Langan has nailed it. As long as the federal government funds studies
on CO2 caused global warming, there will be people with degrees who will
be willing to take that money and produce a pack of lies.

CO2 is like alchemy, where the alchemist is paid to turn lead into gold.
There was always some noble who's greed got the better of him and was a
sucker for the cheap gold promise. Same thing with AGW, they're a sucker
with for the big global government, the carbon tax, and the draconian
"carbon footprint laws".

Which is why these AGW frauds have gotten so far without even having a
hypothesis to test!
 
Marvin the Martian wrote:
All you got to do is put the equation that makes the predictions in the
newsgroup. You can use all the variables you want besides CO2, but you
have to produce a hypothesis that shows that as CO2 rises, warming rises,
and that hypothesis has to predict.

If you want to shut up the "denialist", then that's all you have to do,
is produce a falsifiable hypothesis that makes accurate predictions. It
is not up to denialist to prove you wrong, it is up to the AGW frauds to
prove they're right.

So, do it, smart ass.

Fact is, every single computer model ever made FAILED to predict the
recent non-warming trend of the last 16 years. All we heard from you guys
is a lot of "yeah but!" and "just wait!" Not only did those models fail
to predict the last 16 years, they always fail to agree with known
observation when you go far enough into the past - that's because they're
all curve fitting.

On the other hand, there's this guy named Svensmark who's simple
hypothesis agrees with the last 4 billion years of the climate record,
and DID predict the recent cooling. All you "scientist" do is pretend you
don't understand the theory, lie about the theory, and slander the guy.

That's not how science is done, son. Go sue your school and try to get
all the money back. You were supposed to learn science, not fraud.

Sloman is a chemist. Nothing more.
 

Welcome to EDABoard.com

Sponsor

Back
Top