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Happy New (Delta Xi Omicron) Year...

E

Ed Lee

Guest
Assuming a 2 to 3 weeks time lag in reporting, Delta disappeared in early November and Omicron appeared in early December. Xi was here almost constantly, as well as exclusively during the two to three weeks in November. Xi remains the same as of today, but Omicron is rapidly gaining ground. Omicron is leading in the coastal states: FL, TX, NY and CA.

This is NCBI reported data for the last week of 2021.

_________________Xi__Dt__Omi
USA/-- (13434) | 76% 00% 16% 04%
USA/NY (00780) | 61% 00% 31% 07%
USA/NJ (00549) | 76% 00% 21% 02%
USA/PA (00559) | 87% 00% 07% 05%
USA/MI (00487) | 79% 00% 10% 00%
USA/FL (00633) | 44% 00% 55% 00%
USA/TX (00540) | 40% 00% 43% 16%
USA/AZ (00236) | 93% 00% 06% 01%
USA/NV (00121) | 92% 00% 03% 04%
USA/WA (00048) | 87% 00% 12% 00%
USA/CA (02775) | 65% 00% 29% 06%

Note: Xi is USA unique mutations of D614G + E484Q.
 
M

Martin Brown

Guest
On 01/01/2022 08:35, Ed Lee wrote:
> Assuming a 2 to 3 weeks time lag in reporting, Delta disappeared in early November and Omicron appeared in early December. Xi was here almost constantly, as well as exclusively during the two to three weeks in November. Xi remains the same as of today, but Omicron is rapidly gaining ground. Omicron is leading in the coastal states: FL, TX, NY and CA.

Sorry but your claims are simply not credible. Delta and Delta (AY4.2)
represent the other 12% of Covid infections in the UK. AY4.2 was slowly
displacing the original Delta strain until Omicron really took off.

This is NCBI reported data for the last week of 2021.

_________________Xi__Dt__Omi
USA/-- (13434) | 76% 00% 16% 04%
USA/NY (00780) | 61% 00% 31% 07%
USA/NJ (00549) | 76% 00% 21% 02%
USA/PA (00559) | 87% 00% 07% 05%
USA/MI (00487) | 79% 00% 10% 00%
USA/FL (00633) | 44% 00% 55% 00%
USA/TX (00540) | 40% 00% 43% 16%
USA/AZ (00236) | 93% 00% 06% 01%
USA/NV (00121) | 92% 00% 03% 04%
USA/WA (00048) | 87% 00% 12% 00%
USA/CA (02775) | 65% 00% 29% 06%

Note: Xi is USA unique mutations of D614G + E484Q.
I find it impossible to reconcile your numbers with those of the CDC
which do not even include \"Xi\" as a VOC. They also claim Omicron is at
75% penetration in the USA (which also seems highly unlikely to me).

Also you have four columns of numbers and only 3 titles.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fcoronavirus%2F2019-ncov%2Fvariants%2Fvariant-info.html

The daily infection curve would be very much steeper like it is in the
UK or France if that were actually true. UK prevalence of Omicron is now
almost 80% and case numbers at record levels with over 4% of the English
population (mostly young people) currently infected with Covid-19.

This years Royal Institution Christmas lectures were given by Jonathon
Van Tam (deputy chief medic) on Covid. There was a particularly striking
visualisation of % of each virus strain seen in the UK as a function of
time since it originally arrived. It was chaotic at first with no single
variant ever gaining a decisive advantage until alpha emerged which
displaced almost everything else and then later delta which did the
same, omicron is just beginning to show on the end of the chart.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0012tzh/royal-institution-christmas-lectures-2021-3-fighting-back

46 minutes in is where the graphic appears. It is the most complete one
that I have seen - unable to find it as a free standing image online.
The person presenting is Professor Sharon Peacock one of the UK\'s
foremost researchers into genomic sequencing.

Closest is the interactive UK variant genomic frequency graph:

https://covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw?date=2020-09-26

--
Regards,
Martin Brown
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Saturday, January 1, 2022 at 3:40:30 AM UTC-8, Martin Brown wrote:
On 01/01/2022 08:35, Ed Lee wrote:
Assuming a 2 to 3 weeks time lag in reporting, Delta disappeared in early November and Omicron appeared in early December. Xi was here almost constantly, as well as exclusively during the two to three weeks in November. Xi remains the same as of today, but Omicron is rapidly gaining ground. Omicron is leading in the coastal states: FL, TX, NY and CA.
Sorry but your claims are simply not credible. Delta and Delta (AY4.2)
represent the other 12% of Covid infections in the UK. AY4.2 was slowly
displacing the original Delta strain until Omicron really took off.
I don\'t claim to know anything about the UK. US is far away and very different from UK. Delta was never that high in the US. Since early November, the unique sequencing patterns of Delta are almost non-existence.

This is NCBI reported data for the last week of 2021.

_________________Xi__Dt__Omi
USA/-- (13434) | 76% 00% 16% 04%
USA/NY (00780) | 61% 00% 31% 07%
USA/NJ (00549) | 76% 00% 21% 02%
USA/PA (00559) | 87% 00% 07% 05%
USA/MI (00487) | 79% 00% 10% 00%
USA/FL (00633) | 44% 00% 55% 00%
USA/TX (00540) | 40% 00% 43% 16%
USA/AZ (00236) | 93% 00% 06% 01%
USA/NV (00121) | 92% 00% 03% 04%
USA/WA (00048) | 87% 00% 12% 00%
USA/CA (02775) | 65% 00% 29% 06%

Note: Xi is USA unique mutations of D614G + E484Q.
I find it impossible to reconcile your numbers with those of the CDC
which do not even include \"Xi\" as a VOC.
CDC considers Xi as Delta. I reserve Xi for my tracking of \"D614G + E484Q\"..

They also claim Omicron is at
75% penetration in the USA (which also seems highly unlikely to me).
With 2 to 3 weeks lag in reporting, the NCBI data indicates around 17% US (55% FL) in early December. I can tell you in 3 weeks whether the 75% US is credible or not. For a while, i was starting to question the NCBI data and/or my interpretation of the data. But with a reporting delay, it fits perfectly.

> Also you have four columns of numbers and only 3 titles.

The fourth column is other unaccountable variants.
 
M

Martin Brown

Guest
On 01/01/2022 14:56, Ed Lee wrote:
On Saturday, January 1, 2022 at 3:40:30 AM UTC-8, Martin Brown wrote:
On 01/01/2022 08:35, Ed Lee wrote:
Assuming a 2 to 3 weeks time lag in reporting, Delta disappeared in early November and Omicron appeared in early December. Xi was here almost constantly, as well as exclusively during the two to three weeks in November. Xi remains the same as of today, but Omicron is rapidly gaining ground. Omicron is leading in the coastal states: FL, TX, NY and CA.
Sorry but your claims are simply not credible. Delta and Delta (AY4.2)
represent the other 12% of Covid infections in the UK. AY4.2 was slowly
displacing the original Delta strain until Omicron really took off.

I don\'t claim to know anything about the UK. US is far away and very different from UK. Delta was never that high in the US. Since early November, the unique sequencing patterns of Delta are almost non-existence.

This is NCBI reported data for the last week of 2021.

_________________Xi__Dt__Omi
USA/-- (13434) | 76% 00% 16% 04%
USA/NY (00780) | 61% 00% 31% 07%
USA/NJ (00549) | 76% 00% 21% 02%
USA/PA (00559) | 87% 00% 07% 05%
USA/MI (00487) | 79% 00% 10% 00%
USA/FL (00633) | 44% 00% 55% 00%
USA/TX (00540) | 40% 00% 43% 16%
USA/AZ (00236) | 93% 00% 06% 01%
USA/NV (00121) | 92% 00% 03% 04%
USA/WA (00048) | 87% 00% 12% 00%
USA/CA (02775) | 65% 00% 29% 06%

Note: Xi is USA unique mutations of D614G + E484Q.
I find it impossible to reconcile your numbers with those of the CDC
which do not even include \"Xi\" as a VOC.

CDC considers Xi as Delta. I reserve Xi for my tracking of \"D614G + E484Q\".
And exactly how is your pretend \"Xi\" different from B.1.617.1 aka Kappa

Defining mutations: L452R E484Q D614G P681R

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/variants-concern

(see under de-escalated variants - it never really got started here)

Arguably a precursor/alternative to Delta which has T478K instead as
B.1.617.2 Both originated in India but for some reason .1 took off in
the USA but .2 took off in Europe. It is rather curious.

Omicron will make everything that went before look like a picnic.
(only saving grace is it might only be as dangerous as the wild form)

Delta was twice as lethal.

They also claim Omicron is at
75% penetration in the USA (which also seems highly unlikely to me).

With 2 to 3 weeks lag in reporting, the NCBI data indicates around 17% US (55% FL) in early December. I can tell you in 3 weeks whether the 75% US is credible or not. For a while, i was starting to question the NCBI data and/or my interpretation of the data. But with a reporting delay, it fits perfectly.

Also you have four columns of numbers and only 3 titles.
It is odd that in the USA the early weaker form Kappa has won out
whereas in Europe (perhaps because of better containment and higher
vaccination levels) it got wiped out and rapidly supplanted by Delta.

> The fourth column is other unaccountable variants.

Texas stands out as having a worryingly high \"others\".

--
Regards,
Martin Brown
 
R

Rick C

Guest
On Sunday, January 2, 2022 at 4:42:48 PM UTC-5, Martin Brown wrote:
Texas stands out as having a worryingly high \"others\".
Maybe it\'s time to embargo Texas? They keep talking about wanting to secede. I guess they need a little help.

--

Rick C.

- Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
- Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Sunday, January 2, 2022 at 1:42:48 PM UTC-8, Martin Brown wrote:
On 01/01/2022 14:56, Ed Lee wrote:
On Saturday, January 1, 2022 at 3:40:30 AM UTC-8, Martin Brown wrote:
On 01/01/2022 08:35, Ed Lee wrote:
Assuming a 2 to 3 weeks time lag in reporting, Delta disappeared in early November and Omicron appeared in early December. Xi was here almost constantly, as well as exclusively during the two to three weeks in November. Xi remains the same as of today, but Omicron is rapidly gaining ground. Omicron is leading in the coastal states: FL, TX, NY and CA.
Sorry but your claims are simply not credible. Delta and Delta (AY4.2)
represent the other 12% of Covid infections in the UK. AY4.2 was slowly
displacing the original Delta strain until Omicron really took off.

I don\'t claim to know anything about the UK. US is far away and very different from UK. Delta was never that high in the US. Since early November, the unique sequencing patterns of Delta are almost non-existence.

This is NCBI reported data for the last week of 2021.

_________________Xi__Dt__Omi
USA/-- (13434) | 76% 00% 16% 04%
USA/NY (00780) | 61% 00% 31% 07%
USA/NJ (00549) | 76% 00% 21% 02%
USA/PA (00559) | 87% 00% 07% 05%
USA/MI (00487) | 79% 00% 10% 00%
USA/FL (00633) | 44% 00% 55% 00%
USA/TX (00540) | 40% 00% 43% 16%
USA/AZ (00236) | 93% 00% 06% 01%
USA/NV (00121) | 92% 00% 03% 04%
USA/WA (00048) | 87% 00% 12% 00%
USA/CA (02775) | 65% 00% 29% 06%

Note: Xi is USA unique mutations of D614G + E484Q.
I find it impossible to reconcile your numbers with those of the CDC
which do not even include \"Xi\" as a VOC.

CDC considers Xi as Delta. I reserve Xi for my tracking of \"D614G + E484Q\".
And exactly how is your pretend \"Xi\" different from B.1.617.1 aka Kappa

Defining mutations: L452R E484Q D614G P681R
Xi does not have the L452R and P681R mutations, only D614G and E484Q. A few samples have D614G and L452R previously, none with D614G and P681R.
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
Louisiana (83%) is leading the race for the Omicron Club.

Weekly (2 wks lag) data since Dec 2021
USA/-- | 01% 16% 38%
USA/NY | 03% 31% 64%
USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53%
USA/PA | 00% 07% 21%
USA/MI | 00% 10% 36%
USA/FL | 02% 55% 67%
USA/GA | 01% 31% 68%
USA/AL | 00% 09% 55%
USA/LA | 00% 39% 83%
USA/MS | 00% 25% 53%
USA/TX | 01% 43% 74%
USA/CO | 00% 02% 07%
USA/UT | 00% 00% 02%
USA/NM | 00% 01% 07%
USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17%
USA/NV | 01% 03% 34%
USA/CA | 01% 29% 47%
USA/OR | 00% 15% 13%
USA/WA | 03% 12% 25%
Samples 15k 11k 16k
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
USA/NY | 03% 31% 64% 86%
USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53% 79%
USA/PA | 00% 07% 21% 43%
USA/MI | 00% 10% 36% 63%
USA/FL | 02% 55% 67% 90%
USA/GA | 01% 31% 68% 83%
USA/AL | 00% 09% 55% 78%
USA/LA | 00% 39% 83% 87%
USA/MS | 00% 25% 53% 83%
USA/KS | 00% 02% 05% 47%
USA/ND | 00% 00% 00% 00%
USA/OK | 01% 06% 38% 08%
USA/TX | 01% 43% 74% 90%
USA/CO | 00% 02% 07% 30%
USA/UT | 00% 00% 02% 13%
USA/NM | 00% 01% 07% 17%
USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17% 64%
USA/NV | 01% 03% 34% 52%
USA/CA | 01% 29% 47% 68%
USA/OR | 00% 15% 13% 94%
USA/WA | 03% 12% 25% 90%
Total | 01% 16% 38% 59%
Samples 15k 11k 16k 8k

In Data We Trust. ND is still safe from Omicron. OK had a surprising drop.
 
R

Rick C

Guest
On Friday, January 14, 2022 at 12:13:14 PM UTC-5, Ed Lee wrote:
USA/NY | 03% 31% 64% 86%
USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53% 79%
USA/PA | 00% 07% 21% 43%
USA/MI | 00% 10% 36% 63%
USA/FL | 02% 55% 67% 90%
USA/GA | 01% 31% 68% 83%
USA/AL | 00% 09% 55% 78%
USA/LA | 00% 39% 83% 87%
USA/MS | 00% 25% 53% 83%
USA/KS | 00% 02% 05% 47%
USA/ND | 00% 00% 00% 00%
USA/OK | 01% 06% 38% 08%
USA/TX | 01% 43% 74% 90%
USA/CO | 00% 02% 07% 30%
USA/UT | 00% 00% 02% 13%
USA/NM | 00% 01% 07% 17%
USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17% 64%
USA/NV | 01% 03% 34% 52%
USA/CA | 01% 29% 47% 68%
USA/OR | 00% 15% 13% 94%
USA/WA | 03% 12% 25% 90%
Total | 01% 16% 38% 59%
Samples 15k 11k 16k 8k

In Data We Trust. ND is still safe from Omicron. OK had a surprising drop.
Yeah, if only we had some idea of what the data was. Here\'s some data...

TT062821-7
28-Jun-21
200
-149,660.00
-153,660.00
TT080321-5
03-Aug-21
164
-11,948.75
-165,608.75
TT080521-6

Pretty wild, right?

--

Rick C.

+ Get 1,000 miles of free Supercharging
+ Tesla referral code - https://ts.la/richard11209
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Friday, January 14, 2022 at 5:06:34 PM UTC-8, gnuarm.del...@gmail.com wrote:
On Friday, January 14, 2022 at 12:13:14 PM UTC-5, Ed Lee wrote:
USA/NY | 03% 31% 64% 86%
USA/NJ | 01% 21% 53% 79%
USA/PA | 00% 07% 21% 43%
USA/MI | 00% 10% 36% 63%
USA/FL | 02% 55% 67% 90%
USA/GA | 01% 31% 68% 83%
USA/AL | 00% 09% 55% 78%
USA/LA | 00% 39% 83% 87%
USA/MS | 00% 25% 53% 83%
USA/KS | 00% 02% 05% 47%
USA/ND | 00% 00% 00% 00%
USA/OK | 01% 06% 38% 08%
USA/TX | 01% 43% 74% 90%
USA/CO | 00% 02% 07% 30%
USA/UT | 00% 00% 02% 13%
USA/NM | 00% 01% 07% 17%
USA/AZ | 00% 06% 17% 64%
USA/NV | 01% 03% 34% 52%
USA/CA | 01% 29% 47% 68%
USA/OR | 00% 15% 13% 94%
USA/WA | 03% 12% 25% 90%
Total | 01% 16% 38% 59%
Samples 15k 11k 16k 8k

In Data We Trust. ND is still safe from Omicron. OK had a surprising drop.
For example, Oklahoma had 1% of new cases in first week, 6% in second week, 38% in third week, and 8% in fourth week as Omicron. Total new Omicron cases in USA reached 59% in the fourth week since Omicron started in early December 2021.

Yeah, if only we had some idea of what the data was. Here\'s some data...

TT062821-7
28-Jun-21
200
-149,660.00
-153,660.00
TT080321-5
03-Aug-21
164
-11,948.75
-165,608.75
TT080521-6

Pretty wild, right?
Your turn to explain your Data.
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
Weekly update:

Omicron| 2021____________2022
_______| Dec_____________Jan
USA/NY_| 03% 31% 64% 86% 85%
USA/NJ_| 01% 21% 53% 79% 87%
USA/PA_| 00% 07% 21% 43% 75%
USA/MI_| 00% 10% 36% 63% 69%
USA/FL_| 02% 55% 67% 90% 95%
USA/GA_| 01% 31% 68% 83% 90%
USA/AL_| 00% 09% 55% 78% 99%
USA/LA_| 00% 39% 83% 87% 81%
USA/MS_| 00% 25% 53% 83% 74%
USA/KS_| 00% 02% 05% 47% 54%
USA/ND_| 00% 00% 00% 00% 00%
USA/OK_| 01% 06% 38% 08% 14%
USA/TX_| 01% 43% 74% 90% 78%
USA/CO_| 00% 02% 07% 30% 65%
USA/UT_| 00% 00% 02% 13% 21%
USA/NM_| 00% 01% 07% 17% 54%
USA/AZ_| 00% 06% 17% 64% 77%
USA/NV_| 01% 03% 34% 52% 92%
USA/CA_| 01% 29% 47% 68% 77%
USA/OR_| 00% 15% 13% 94% 82%
USA/WA_| 03% 12% 25% 90% 82%
Total__| 01% 16% 38% 59% 60%
Samples| 15k 11k 16k 08k 07k

In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%) may never die.
 
S

server

Guest
Ed Lee <edward.ming.lee@gmail.com> wrote in
news:ea2b47b9-48d5-43b5-8cd1-0d95796c14ddn@googlegroups.com:


In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%) may
never die.

In off topic unnecessary posts, we do not.
Post your stupid shit elsewhere, or just post a link. We do not need
you copy and paste stupidity in an information age society. We can
find the data all by ourselves.

And no, you are NOT contributing to the group with this stupid shit.
Especially not followed by your opinions.

In our own ability to observe, we trust. Maybe you should learn
something about human behavior. Posting for attention? Lame. Posting
thinking that you are informing someone... even more lame.

We are good on our own. don\'t need your stats or your opinions on
what the stats say. You dig, boy?
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 10:18:02 AM UTC-8, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in
news:ea2b47b9-48d5-43b5...@googlegroups.com:

In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%) may
never die.

In off topic unnecessary posts, we do not.

Post your stupid shit elsewhere, or just post a link. We do not need
you copy and paste stupidity in an information age society. We can
find the data all by ourselves.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/datasets/coronavirus/genomes/

But some people are too stupid to read the data.
 
S

server

Guest
Ed Lee <edward.ming.lee@gmail.com> wrote in
news:8798e90e-7df0-43de-b4ed-650a796c486en@googlegroups.com:

On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 10:18:02 AM UTC-8,
DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in
news:ea2b47b9-48d5-43b5...@googlegroups.com:

In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%)
may never die.

In off topic unnecessary posts, we do not.

Post your stupid shit elsewhere, or just post a link. We do not
need you copy and paste stupidity in an information age society.
We can find the data all by ourselves.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/datasets/coronavirus/genomes/

But some people are too stupid to read the data.
Some people are too stupid to know how to interpret it too.


But is that for you to say? Sounds like more baseless opinions.

Really most do not even look at data sets. Mostly idiot Trumpers
whom cannot handle hard facts, much less grasp them to start with.
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 10:46:02 AM UTC-8, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in
news:8798e90e-7df0-43de...@googlegroups.com:
On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 10:18:02 AM UTC-8,
DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in
news:ea2b47b9-48d5-43b5...@googlegroups.com:

In Data We Trust. Omicron (60%) is slowing down, but Xi (31%)
may never die.

In off topic unnecessary posts, we do not.

Post your stupid shit elsewhere, or just post a link. We do not
need you copy and paste stupidity in an information age society.
We can find the data all by ourselves.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/datasets/coronavirus/genomes/

But some people are too stupid to read the data.

Some people are too stupid to know how to interpret it too.
OK, some people like you are too stupid, period.

> But is that for you to say? Sounds like more baseless opinions.

It\'s only for you.

Really most do not even look at data sets. Mostly idiot Trumpers
whom cannot handle hard facts, much less grasp them to start with.
So, I am not Trumper.
 
S

server

Guest
Ed Lee <edward.ming.lee@gmail.com> wrote in news:d3aca049-3439-49d7-
aab3-be7004c7c12bn@googlegroups.com:

OK, some people like you are too stupid, period.
Fuck you, off topic posting, retarded group invading jackass.

YOU failed to examine the data correctly and was already told about
it.

YOU, motherfucker, are 2 too stupid.

So post again, retard boy. Make it 3 times too fucking stupid.
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 11:33:50 AM UTC-8, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in news:d3aca049-3439-49d7-
aab3-be70...@googlegroups.com:

OK, some people like you are too stupid, period.

Fuck you, off topic posting, retarded group invading jackass.

YOU failed to examine the data correctly and was already told about
it.

YOU, motherfucker, are 2 too stupid.

So post again, retard boy. Make it 3 times too fucking stupid.
Degenerative language poster.
 
S

server

Guest
Ed Lee <edward.ming.lee@gmail.com> wrote in news:49331649-68d9-4199-
8110-410e23cabc43n@googlegroups.com:

Degenerative language poster.
You are an off topic utter retard who after 4 fucktarded posts you
still have not gotten the hint. In Usenet, fucktard, THAT is
degenerative. So again... STOP. You fucking retard.
 
E

Ed Lee

Guest
On Friday, January 21, 2022 at 12:07:07 PM UTC-8, DecadentLinux...@decadence.org wrote:
Ed Lee <edward....@gmail.com> wrote in news:49331649-68d9-4199-
8110-410e...@googlegroups.com:

Degenerative language poster.


You are an off topic utter retard who after 4 fucktarded posts you
still have not gotten the hint. In Usenet, fucktard, THAT is
degenerative. So again... STOP. You fucking retard.
Degenerative poster.
 
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